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July 10, 2008

Prediction: Make Room for Even More SOA

Service oriented architecture adoption will double over the next four years, a leading analyst firm predicts.

AMR Research has just issued a forecast that the SOA market will hit $52 billion by the year 2012, up from the current level of about $28 billion. (Full PDF report available here at ebizQ.) By that time, 77% of companies will have SOA, the analyst firm predicts.

AMR also observed that SOA spending is significant — In 2007 alone, "the average SOA adopter spent nearly $1.4M, and 45% reported spending over $500K on SOA software and services," the consultancy observed.

What's going to be part of this $52-billion market? AMR says it's going to be a lot of things, and not just enterprise service buses and integrated development environments. Include in the mix business process management, legacy modernization, and Web 2.0 tools. SOA-enabled packaged applications will also be big sellers.

The only things that could diminish SOA adoption are a bad economy that results in IT projects getting cut, or a shortage of skills for building, deploying, and maintaining SOA-based applications, the analyst firm adds.

Vendors are really pushing SOA hard, to the point where it "will be coming to customers, whether they want it or not," AMR said.

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